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Experts Evaluating COVID-19 Projections As Economy Reopens

The state's projections for coronavirus cases as of April 8, as developed by Ohio State University and the Cleveland Clinic. The model shows a peak of around 1,600 cases on April 19.  The state recorded its high of 1,353 cases that weekend.
Ohio Department of Health
The state's projections for coronavirus cases as of April 8, as developed by Ohio State University and the Cleveland Clinic. The model shows a peak of around 1,600 cases on April 19. The state recorded its high of 1,353 cases that weekend.

With most of Ohio’s businesses allowed to open up, experts who’ve worked with the state on the modeling it used to create its COVID-19 policies are evaluating their predictions for what’s ahead.

Early modeling for COVID-19 in Ohio showed a peak of 62,000 cases per day

Dr. Jim Simon runs predictive modeling for COVID-19 at the Cleveland Clinic, which has worked with the state on its projections on the spread of the virus.

And he said in an interview for "The State of Ohio", for weeks people have been getting tired of what he calls the strenuous lifestyle of social distancing.

“We’ve been tracking cell phone mobility data as well as ODOT traffic volumes, and those hit their bottom in late March/early April and then they started drifting back up, long before the governor said it’s ok to go to back to work," Simon said.

But Simon said while researchers are learning more about it, the coronavirus is just as contagious and deadly as it was when the shutdowns started three months ago.

Contact Karen at 614-578-6375 or at kkasler@statehousenews.org.